OH-PPP: TRUMP 38, Kasich 35

[IceSpear]

In a head to head match-up Kasich leads TRUMP 55/40.

Kasich has 70/22 favorability in Ohio compared to 48/44 for Trump, 40/45 for Cruz, and 33/51 for Rubio

Yeah, Kasich likely takes this. The only question is the margin. Not only does Trump usually underperform his polls, I highly doubt undecideds go to Trump, and some Cruz voters could jump ship to Kasich.

[IceSpear]

Democrats:

Clinton 56
Sanders 35

And this was supposed to be his #1 or #2 March 15th state. But THE RACE ISN'T OVER! THE YOUNG TURKS TOLD ME SO!111!!

[IceSpear]

Democrats:

Clinton 56
Sanders 35

I see PPP is still being paid to prop up Clinton.

Uh, the very pro-Bernie Quinnipiac had her up 15 a few weeks ago...

[IceSpear]

WTF is going on? Kasich is behind 3, within the margin of error, and the majority are going KASICH IS GOING TO WIN OHIO NO DOUBT. Let's call it for what it is, a toss-up.

Looking beyond the toplines has many more favorable indicators for Kasich + Trump has underperformed the polls in nearly every state so far.

[IceSpear]

So Kasich is at nearly +50 favorability yet is losing to someone who's not even at +5? This doesn't add up.

Uh, that's been the trend for basically the entire race so far. The people who see Trump favorably really like him and are very committed.

That said, with the gap this large, I still expect Kasich to win.