Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[IceSpear]

Not to mention the fact that more candidates and a more competitive primary will of course lead to higher turnout. For example, if it was just Trump vs. Rubio, there would be a turnout dropoff among supporters of the other candidates. And many Hillary lovers and even people who dislike Hillary assume it is in the bag for her anyway, so don't bother to vote.

[IceSpear]

This is gonna be a wonderful night.

[IceSpear]

There's no way she's winning more than 70%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

Uh, I predicted she'd win 64-36, so if anything I might have underestimated her.

[IceSpear]

CNN is again pushing the "she needs to win by more than 22 points" narrative.

MSNBC keeps talking about how South Carolina is such a favorable state for Hillary so of course she'd win easily there. But Bernie's landslide win in his best state in the country sans Vermont made him the second coming of christ.

[IceSpear]

Is Willie Wilson an undercover establishment candidate meant to siphon off some of Sander's votes? I expect the delegate count to be around 34-19 in favor of Clinton. No idea how Wilson's showing will affect the apportionment....

If anything Willie Wilson would get Hillary votes.

[IceSpear]

I wonder what Sanders is going to say tonight, since he can't use that "it's basically a draw" line when he loses by 30 points.

"We were down 70 points 6 months ago"

[IceSpear]

CNN to make a projection at the top of the hour.

Shocker.

Who knew Bernie would win that quickly? RIP Hillary.

[IceSpear]

If my math is right, the exits have it as:

Clinton 68%
Sanders 31%

No way to spin this. An absolutely crushing triumph for Hillary.

[IceSpear]

Whites (34%): 58-42 Sanders
Non-Whites (66%): 83-17 Clinton

This is the only good thing for Sanders.

He still has a sizable lead amongst whites, which will bode well for him in very white electorates going forward.

The bad news of course is that he did far worse than he said he would with black voters and he has no chance of winning in the south.

Doesn't matter. The non white number ends his campaign tonight.

[IceSpear]

Do these Clinton scores among Blacks indicate anything other than a personality cult ? Low information vote ? I mean dayum !

Uh, are you really in a position to talk about cultists?

[IceSpear]

Hillary wins 65+ blacks 96-3.

[IceSpear]

Whites (34%): 58-42 Sanders
Non-Whites (66%): 83-17 Clinton

This is the only good thing for Sanders.

He still has a sizable lead amongst whites, which will bode well for him in very white electorates going forward.

The bad news of course is that he did far worse than he said he would with black voters and he has no chance of winning in the south.

Doesn't matter. The non white number ends his campaign tonight.

Yes. She is inevitable. Congrats IceSpear!

Thank you. However, I will only formally accept my accolades once she is the presumptive nominee.

[IceSpear]

Hillary wins blacks under 30 56-43.

[IceSpear]

Even worse for Bernie: There's no way to spin this, 3 days before Super Tuesday. If anyone's going to overperform and get late momentum, it will be her.

[IceSpear]

But yeah, Clinton is overperforming.  I'd chalk it up to Sanders pulling out.  Super Tuesday is going to be a bloodbath.  

Bernie pulling out was a factor, but I think people are underestimating just how much momentum that Nevada gave Hillary. She rocketed up in many state polls that were conducted after it.

[IceSpear]

Some gems from r/sandersforpresident:

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Knew it was coming. Cringe.

Luckily the Reddit cult isn't representative of the vast majority of Bernie voters.

[IceSpear]

Pretty much every poll conducted in SC had her up 20 points, and she's about to win by 50. I'll just assume NV was worth 10, Clyburn was worth 10, and Bernie pulling out was worth 10.

[IceSpear]

INEVITABLE CLINTON

[IceSpear]

Good job Clemson for being the only pollster to come close to the actual result.

They were the only ones who bothered to poll after NV and the Clyburn endorsement. Still extraordinary though.

[IceSpear]

Is there a silver lining for Sanders? Anywhere?

The white vote was a slight one, but even that's gone now.

[IceSpear]

Is there a silver lining for Sanders? Anywhere?

His silver lining is that he wasn't expected to win here anyway, so the result likely won't negatively impact him much on Super Tuesday.

A regular drubbing wouldn't have impacted him. This will.

[IceSpear]

Is there a silver lining for Sanders? Anywhere?

His silver lining is that he wasn't expected to win here anyway, so the result likely won't negatively impact him much on Super Tuesday.

A regular drubbing wouldn't have impacted him. This will.

I have doubts about that.

Hillary is under 75% now.

Feelin' the Bern!

Looks like the exit polls did overestimate Clinton.

Exit polls were showing Hillary winning 68%...

No, they were indeed showing her winning 75%. Browse the earlier posts in this thread if you wish.

We'll see soon enough. NH hurt Hillary even though she was expected to lose big there because it was bigger than expected.

[IceSpear]

Why the hell are they so obsessed on CNN about Clinton asking Sanders to drop out?
Are they pulling this out of their asses?

CNN is best at that. I guess it's better than MSNBC trying to brush it under the rug and blabbing about Trump, Rubio, and Kasich right now.

[IceSpear]

Will MSNBC please shut the FYUCK up about Trump?

[IceSpear]

Hillary even won 51-49 among those who said their most important quality was "honest and trustworthy"