IBD/TIPP nat. poll: D: Clinton 45% Sanders 43%; R: Trump 31% Cruz 20% Rubio 18% (user search)
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  IBD/TIPP nat. poll: D: Clinton 45% Sanders 43%; R: Trump 31% Cruz 20% Rubio 18% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP nat. poll: D: Clinton 45% Sanders 43%; R: Trump 31% Cruz 20% Rubio 18%  (Read 1796 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: February 25, 2016, 01:38:52 PM »

Laughably inconsistent with the state polls.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2016, 02:22:30 PM »

Dems:

Northeast: Sanders +8
Midwest: Sanders +7
South: Clinton +19
West: Sanders +10
urban: Clinton +3
suburban: Clinton +7
rural: Sanders +7



Not really jiving with the whole 'Clinton winning Iowa, Sanders up 1 in Wisc, losing Michigan, Illinois polls' scenario. Still, I would imagine that Sanders is gaining a bit from undecided each week. Probably not enough to win at this point


Even the South crosstab seems to drastically underestimate Clinton.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2016, 05:51:12 PM »
« Edited: February 25, 2016, 06:34:41 PM by IceSpear »

Laughably inconsistent with the state polls.
This is an election in the USA, not just the CSA

I wasn't aware PA, MI, IL, NJ, etc. were confederate states. Not to mention Bernie tied or trailing in his own turf like WI/RI.

On that note, it's kind of difficult to put yourself in a moral high ground about Confederates and whatnot when West f'ing Virginia is supporting your candidate in a landslide.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: February 26, 2016, 02:38:12 AM »

This is a map of all polls conducted in February. If there was more than one, I averaged them. Utah was ambiguous but I gave it to Sanders. 30% shade = 1-10 point lead. 50% shade = 11-20 point lead. 90% shade = 20+ point lead.



Yeah, not exactly consistent with a toss up race nationally. How's he pulling that off? Winning California by 90 points? Give me an effing break.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2016, 08:17:10 PM »

Told you guys this was utter TRASH.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2016, 11:38:06 PM »


It has her up 19 points in the South. Now obviously not every Southern state is going to be a 50 point drubbing, but it quite obviously shows that she's winning there by a much bigger margin than that, at the very least.
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