Will Hillary win by a smaller or greater margin than Obama-2012? (user search)
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  Will Hillary win by a smaller or greater margin than Obama-2012? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Smaller margin		  
#2
Greater margin		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: Will Hillary win by a smaller or greater margin than Obama-2012?  (Read 3795 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« on: May 28, 2015, 04:35:09 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 28, 2015, 04:32:06 PM
Historically if a party wins 3 terms in the white house in a row that third election is always closer than the 2nd one.  The only example I can find otherwise is 1904. Plus, I'm really having doubts about Hillary exciting anyone to vote, this may be similar to 1988 in that sense.

Based on? Most polls show Dems are enthusiastic for Hillary.

I'll say slightly greater.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2015, 06:29:58 PM »
Quote from: henster on May 28, 2015, 06:19:38 PM
Judging by the PA & WA polls I've seen she will do much worse than Obama, she's trailing his 2012 numbers in blue states.

Cherrypicking. The entirety of all the polling data shows her winning by more than Obama.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2015, 02:05:15 PM »
Quote from: Lincoln Republican on May 29, 2015, 12:13:57 PM
Will Hillary lose by a smaller or greater margin than Romney-2012?

What do you mean? You told us Romney would win in a landslide. Wink
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2015, 11:16:07 PM »
By the way, isn't it possible she could do better in the popular vote but worse in the electoral college (or vice versa, but that seems less likely)?
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