New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning (user search)
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  New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning (search mode)
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Author Topic: New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning  (Read 5754 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: October 25, 2014, 04:50:43 PM »


This.

Will these be the final YouGov polls, or will they be doing one more wave?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2014, 07:15:56 PM »

lol these are going to be so awful

The funny thing is that they went from super R-biased in the first two waves to D-biased in the most recent wave (they were one of the only pollsters to have Udall/Schauer ahead, for example). It's anyone's guess what we can expect this time.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2014, 01:58:24 AM »

I don't know if I'd say YouGov is biased against Dems as much as their polls are just really erratic and often cut against current conventional wisdom, partially due to their large sampling period. Their results can be lagging compared to most polls.

Like I said above, their most recent wave actually favored the Dems overall, despite the first two favoring the GOP. Regardless, I try not to take them into account at all when thinking about the standing of a race. Since we're almost in the final week of the election, that'll be even easier to do as more polls flood in.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2014, 02:04:02 PM »

lol CO/KS. Classic YouGov. Will this be their final round of polls?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2014, 06:27:32 PM »

Since this is surveying the same people, "momentum" since the last poll is arguably more important than the toplines, so here it is for the relevant races:

AK: D+2
AR: R+1
CO: R+2

GA: D+1
IA: R+1
KY: None
LA: D+2
MI: D+3
MN: D+3

MS: R+11 (McDanielites coming home for Cochran, I presume)
NH: R+2

NC: D+2
SD: D+2

VA: R+2
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