FL-Quinnipiac: Clinton beats Christie by 21 (user search)
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  FL-Quinnipiac: Clinton beats Christie by 21 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Quinnipiac: Clinton beats Christie by 21  (Read 4178 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: July 24, 2014, 01:04:47 PM »

Clearly Hillary is a horrible and flawed candidate because she only leads by a couple points in Iowa. Wink
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2014, 02:15:51 PM »
« Edited: July 24, 2014, 02:26:19 PM by IceSpear »

Sorry, Quinnipiac, but Hillary isn't capable of a victory that huge in Florida. This is the county map she'd have to achieve, roughly (reversed colors):
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/77/FLSen06Counties.png

Whether you're ridiculously oversampling democrats or forcing tons of Christie voters to vote undecided, please stop and go back to valid polling.

Quinnipiac is known for being overgenerous towards Democrats in Florida.

Uh, no.

Quinnipiac's final Florida poll in 2012: Obama +1, Nelson +13
Actual 2012 results: Obama +1, Nelson +13

In fact, they were the most accurate Florida pollster, whereas many others were dead wrong.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/fl/florida_senate_mack_vs_nelson-1847.html

And I just checked 2010 and 2008, and their Florida polls there were also pretty close to the end result. You must be confusing them with a different pollster.
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