A winning Scenario for Wendy Davis-TX Governor's Race (user search)
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  A winning Scenario for Wendy Davis-TX Governor's Race (search mode)
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Author Topic: A winning Scenario for Wendy Davis-TX Governor's Race  (Read 7051 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: October 05, 2013, 02:19:36 PM »

I don't see any scenario of a Davis win, barring a nationwide Republican collapse or Abbott pulling an Akin/Mourdock. Even then she'd probably still lose. There just aren't enough swing voters, more than half the state votes straight ticket Republican every time (which is why no Dem has won a statewide office since the 90s).
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2013, 09:06:22 PM »

Don't forget all of the hype surrounding former Houston Mayor Bill White (D) back in 2010: folks got too cute with the outlier polls, showing a close race...until Perry kicked White's ass by a landslide margin.

Not quite the same thing. Perry very well could've lost (or at least had a close race) if not for the 2010 GOP wave pulling him over the finish line. Wendy Davis probably would lose against Abbott even in a Dem wave year.
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