Rasmussen: Trump +10

[President Johnson]

So Trump has more support in a five way race than a three way race? Tell me you're junk without telling me you're junk.

[President Johnson]

Red avatars were dooming in 2020 anytime Biden got a poll where he led by less than 5 points. So I'm not surprised a poll like this is wreaking havoc, but I'm disappointed.

This is the GOP's game, and they've been doing it for years. They release wonky polls to feed the media beast, get clicks online, and shift the polling aggregates. That in turn leads to a "Dems in Disarray" narrative that can be self-fulfilling if it depresses Democratic enthusiasm. They'd rather win that way than by actually nominating good candidates and running on a popular platform.

All of us should know this by now and take polls like this with a grain of salt.

I know Biden faces more headwinds this year, and I take credible polls showing that seriously. But even then, they're just a snapshot in time.

Rassy definitely is trash, and has been over the last few cycles (though ironically the often show Biden with higher approval ratings than other pollsters). However, it's hard to dismiss the entire polling just as nonsense because it makes you look like a hack living in denial over Biden facing a serious challenge. What makes to election so difficult to rate in my opinion is polling versus fundamentals (economy, lack of scandal, weak opponent, special elections and midterms).

[President Johnson]

Red avatars were dooming in 2020 anytime Biden got a poll where he led by less than 5 points. So I'm not surprised a poll like this is wreaking havoc, but I'm disappointed.

This is the GOP's game, and they've been doing it for years. They release wonky polls to feed the media beast, get clicks online, and shift the polling aggregates. That in turn leads to a "Dems in Disarray" narrative that can be self-fulfilling if it depresses Democratic enthusiasm. They'd rather win that way than by actually nominating good candidates and running on a popular platform.

All of us should know this by now and take polls like this with a grain of salt.

I know Biden faces more headwinds this year, and I take credible polls showing that seriously. But even then, they're just a snapshot in time.

Rassy definitely is trash, and has been over the last few cycles (though ironically the often show Biden with higher approval ratings than other pollsters). However, it's hard to dismiss the entire polling just as nonsense because it makes you look like a hack living in denial over Biden facing a serious challenge. What makes to election so difficult to rate in my opinion is polling versus fundamentals (economy, lack of scandal, weak opponent, special elections and midterms).

I said all of that in my original post. I'm not living in a fantasy.

And "the entire polling" isn't bad for Biden. We've gotten many polls this week that show him leading. It's sad how everyone forgets that whenever one bad poll comes out -- which plays into the GOP strategy I'm talking about.

With "entire polling" I meant swing states in particular, where Biden is in a tougher spot than nationally, and even in national polls he leads by one or two, he could still lose. People here generally seem to overreact, especially when a bad poll comes out. I think one reason is because we're talking about Trump and not a "normal conservative" whose victory wouldn't change too much.