What does a Trump+3 map even look like in the electoral college?

[President Johnson]

For fun, I actually went through this with 2020 numbers and would say it's almost impossible unless the bottom totally falls out for Democrats. Or at least it would require significant changes in turnout in various states (ergo low turnout in Democratic strongholds and equal/increased turnout in Republican strongholds).

I used 2020 totals in this Excel table and just changed the percentages. This is an extremely bad scenario for the Democrats in state after state and Biden just loses the popular vote by little more than one point. The Electoral College is 313-225 as in Mohamed's map:



Or did I get something wrong? Even if you give Minnoesta and New Hampshire to Trump by one or two points, it doesn't change much in the totals. Let alone if Biden were to do one or two points better in New York and California, which is easily possible even in a worst case scenario.