I wonder if Timmermans's time at the EU and as Climate commissioner was a liability with the general electorate, even if it helped with the GL-PvdA base.
I doubt this was the case. Wilders successfully tied problems like the housing market (similar lack of homes as in Germany) and crime to illegal immigration and asylum seekers while using more moderate rhetoric than in previous campaigns.
My prediction is Wilders minority government that will fall apart within a year or two because he'll be incompetent.