President Johnson
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,386
Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70
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« on: April 11, 2021, 04:22:37 AM » |
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I almost agree, but would replace Virginia with Florida in 2012 for Republicans. Virginia had already moved to the left and Obama won it by a few points. Florida was easily more winnable for Romney and ended up very close. I think was called few days after the election.
In 2016, you could also argue Michigan for Democrats. Wisconsin was very close in 2000 and 2004 as well, but Michigan wasn't. Obama won it by almost ten in 2012 and more than 16% in 2008.
In 2000, West Virginia ties New Hampshire for Democrats. Especially in retrospect, knowing that John Kerry even took the state in 2004 despite losing by more than Al Gore. If Gore won New Hampshire, he would have been elected regardless of what happened in Florida.
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