Path to 400 electoral votes? (user search)
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  Path to 400 electoral votes? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Path to 400 electoral votes?  (Read 4021 times)
President Johnson
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Posts: 29,386
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« on: May 17, 2015, 04:32:30 AM »

Any thoughts when we'll see a candidate winning 400+ electoral votes again (that's almost 75% of the electoral college)? Is this ever going to happen again?

The last president to achieve this was Bush 1 in 1988. However, between 1912 and 1988 it occured several times: 1912, 1920, 1928, 1932, 1936, 1940, 1944, 1952, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1980, 1984 and 1988 (14 out of 20; and 1924 came close to 400).

Its going to be really tough for both parties; but almost imposible for the GOP.

This is the absolut maximum potential I see for Republicans; and this scenario is still almost 40 votes short of the magic 400 (361 electoral votes):




Path for Democrats (very very difficult; 401 electoral votes in this scenario):

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President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,386
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2015, 11:49:28 AM »
« Edited: May 23, 2015, 11:51:43 AM by President Johnson »

The scenario that Mohamed posted seems to be the most likely; only with Democrats winning at least 50-51% of the vote. 58+% are unlikely for both parties. I think MN, NJ and IL are impossible for the GOP to win. IL and NJ have Republican governors, but WV has also a Democratic governor, but Democrats won't carry the state in presidential election.
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