OK, something I was thinking about in exit polls

[Alcon]

I'm a member of the Evangelical Lutheran Church in America. It's not an evangelical church. The name is a misnomer, dating from a time when "Evangelical" was basically a synonym for "Protestant" in Sweden, much like various uses of the term "liberal" in other countries. ELCA is by any definition a mainline denomination and not too many members would identify as "Evangelical" in that definition (please note the wording actually asks Evangelical/Born Again.)

Right, but it only takes a handful to poison these numbers.  We too often trust that exit poll respondents have any idea of what they're talking about.

[Alcon]

Exit poll crosstabs like this have low sample sizes, and ELCA having evangelical in its name, while misleading, is going to lead people who are members to say they are evangelical.

Obama may well have come close to carrying the ELCA membership vote nationally, actually.

I'd be surprised if he didn't carry ELCA.  He won mainstream Protestants pretty handily, and are Lutherans really more conservative than mainstream Prots in general?