PA PrimD: Suffolk University: Clinton leads Obama by 10 (user search)
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  PA PrimD: Suffolk University: Clinton leads Obama by 10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA PrimD: Suffolk University: Clinton leads Obama by 10  (Read 2289 times)
Alcon
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« on: April 21, 2008, 12:13:33 AM »

First Suffolk poll, so no real point of comparison.

My 11-point prediction may have been a little conservative if what might be happening, is happening.  I'd say it's about 50/50.
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Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
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« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2008, 12:31:12 AM »

First Suffolk poll, so no real point of comparison.

My 11-point prediction may have been a little conservative if what might be happening, is happening.  I'd say it's about 50/50.

And so what is happening, Mr. Fascist?  You need to clue us in.  Tongue

(far be it from me to ask, since I make cryptic remarks all the time that probably mirror everything that's being said here)

The late-breakers are almost all Catholic whites, as a few other polls have implied, and they will go heavily for Clinton.  If there is any Clinton-ward mo' in the last few days, she might win solidly.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2008, 12:38:31 AM »

First Suffolk poll, so no real point of comparison.

My 11-point prediction may have been a little conservative if what might be happening, is happening.  I'd say it's about 50/50.

And so what is happening, Mr. Fascist?  You need to clue us in.  Tongue

(far be it from me to ask, since I make cryptic remarks all the time that probably mirror everything that's being said here)

The late-breakers are almost all Catholic whites, as a few other polls have implied, and they will go heavily for Clinton.  If there is any Clinton-ward mo' in the last few days, she might win solidly.

I don't really know what a "late-breaker" is in terms of the Pennsylvania primary - I do know what a "liar" or a "flirter" is, however...  We'll see.

Oh, yes.  That's another good point.  It looks like Clinton is gaining a bit late game, or is at least up more than we thought.  And I imagine a lot of those "late-breaking undecideds" (pissed-off working-class Catholics) are still claiming to be undecided.
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