West Virginia 2000

[Alcon]

I know but no polls ever showed them winning that district or the state.

I think there was one poll that had Kerry up by like 4 that had Bush up by 1 in that district.  In any case, there was one poll that split the EVs up, and it showed ME-2 much closer.

In the end, though, I put it as lean...so clearly the polling evidence wasn't very strong by the end.  I went nearly entirely by polls.

[Alcon]

Easly, the unions became less important the Pentacostal church and other cults became more important to West Virginians.

The part of West Virginia in which Pentecostalism is strongest voted for Gore. Try again.

That doesn't necessarily mean the Pentecostals voted for him, though.  It might be that the non-Pentecostals there vote Dem heavily because they are unusually poor, not atypical for a Pentecostal area.

(Not arguing with you about West Virginia here, of course...I take your word as sacrosanct on that.  )