Peter Hart Poll NV 03: Hafen closing in on Porter (user search)
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  Peter Hart Poll NV 03: Hafen closing in on Porter (search mode)
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Author Topic: Peter Hart Poll NV 03: Hafen closing in on Porter  (Read 1217 times)
Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
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« on: October 29, 2006, 06:10:37 PM »

This is such a weird election cycle.

Some places look to be affected by a huge national wave.

Other offices seem to be entirely unaffected.

Election Day could be a big surprise either way.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2006, 06:19:53 PM »

This is such a weird election cycle.

Some places look to be affected by a huge national wave.

Other offices seem to be entirely unaffected.

Election Day could be a big surprise either way.

Explain, please.  If the fact that some places were affected and other weren't, wouldn't that lead to the conclusion that some of the changes are regional, as opposed to national.

Phil pretty much explained what I meant.

Two districts that seem at base fairly similar in demographics and voting patterns.  One seems to have swung majorly due to Bush and the GOP's current unpopularity.  The other seems unaffected.  It seems to have no real rhyme nor reason.  Most Indiana seats move heavily toward the Democrats, and one Indianapolis incumbent seems to be in trouble.  It isn't necessarily true, but if any of the weirder results we've seen is, we could have a strange Election Day.  Especially if anti-incumbency is the golden sceptre.

With the additional question mark of pollster accuracy and the inherently flawed nature of congressional polling, I was just saying that there is a chance (I do not think it is likely, per se) that on election day, there will be an unusual number of surprisingly different-than-expected results.
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