As someone who actually lives in Oregon, I can tell you it looks like the ORGOP WILL pick up the governor's seat this November. The Republicans have three good candidates to choose from, and Governor Kulongoski has a tough primary. Add a dash of Independent liberal candidate, with a pinch of unsatisfied liberal voters and you have a recipe for Republican victory this November.
The independent is a libertarian, not a liberal. He's a former Republican who deserted the party over social issues.
What exactly has Kulongoski to deserve such horrible approval ratings? They go beyond the pale of mediocrity.
By the way, if I may ask, what part of Oregon do you hail from? Portland 'burbs?