FOX News Poll: Obama leads by 5 nationwide

[Alcon]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

Do you have proof for your assertion that LV models tend to overcount, as oppose undercount, less-motivated voters early on?  The empirical evidence I've seen (which is limited) suggests the opposite.

[Alcon]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

Do you have proof for your assertion that LV models tend to overcount, as oppose undercount, less-motivated voters early on?  The empirical evidence I've seen (which is limited) suggests the opposite.

I didn't know I was asserting that. All I said was Mitt leads among higher interest voters, which is a similar screening tool used by polling companies trying to nail down who is a likely voter.

Bah, I'm sorry!  I had two windows opened, and one of them was an LV poll.  I thought it was this one, hence my interpretation of your post.  My apologies