future electoral map?

[Alcon]

Richardson/Bayh vs. someone from a non-helpful region (i.e. TX/WY):



Richardson 352
Some Republican 186

Well, I can always hope.

[Alcon]

Richardson/Bayh vs. someone from a non-helpful region (i.e. TX/WY):



Richardson 352
Some Republican 186

Well, I can always hope.

Ummmmm... see this is the problem with your thinking, they aren't going to be up against "some Republican".  They are going to facing a real person who has a record of accomplishment and will probably be somewhat likeable.

Yes, which is why I mean to say that this is a baseline. The Republican would probably be able to flip a few states. This is, basically, what I think this ticket would have done vs. a Republican unknown who was as good, say, as Bush was in 2000.

[Alcon]

Richardson/Bayh vs. someone from a non-helpful region (i.e. TX/WY):



Richardson 352
Some Republican 186

Well, I can always hope.

Ummmmm... see this is the problem with your thinking, they aren't going to be up against "some Republican".  They are going to facing a real person who has a record of accomplishment and will probably be somewhat likeable.

Yes, which is why I mean to say that this is a baseline. The Republican would probably be able to flip a few states. This is, basically, what I think this ticket would have done vs. a Republican unknown who was as good, say, as Bush was in 2000.

"Flip a few states"

And Kerry was going to win in a landslide too, right?

Yes. Flip a few states. I consider 5 states to be a "few." I'm not going overboard here. This is the landslide situation, yes, and assumes a mediocre candidate. I do not expect that. It was just a baseline.

In any case, South Dakota was an accidental. My EV is accurate - I just hit SD by mistake.