Which pollster will the data support?

[Whacker77]

I'm not choosing between either, but I'll say this.  Earlier this year, Nate Silver went after Rasmussen.  I'm not sure what the beef was all about, but Rasmussen has nailed the last two national presidential results.  With his reams of data, I think he should be taken seriously.

In the case of PPP, they've done pretty darn well this year.  I think they were the first to show Feingold and Manchin in trouble and actually losing.  They have become the pollster of Kos and even Nate Silver noted they have succumb to what he calls the "house effect".  Doesn't mean they're wrong though.

I'll be interested to see how they do in Kentucky tommorrow.  Mason Dixon is pretty damn good and their results matched Rasmussen.  If they show the race tied or with Conway ahead by a point or so, then maybe there is something to what Nate Silver has noticed.  That's my view anyway.

[Whacker77]

I know Nate Silver would kill me for doing it this way, but the difference between the two polls in around 8 points on average.  Quite the difference.