MN-Mason Dixon/Star Tribune: Franken+13

[Brewer]

If this were truly a wave election like 2010, Franken would be on the ropes. The fact that he's safe is proof against a massive GOP wave.

I don't see anyone calling this year a massive GOP wave year...

Also, McFadden is a poor candidate and basically a Romney doppelganger who is making comments that are sinking his electability in Minnesota like a rock.

[Brewer]

Has anyone else been getting his campaign emails? They send about two a day, and they are all freaking out:

"OMG LYKE WE R UM LIKKE WITHIN SINGUL DIJITS ACCORDNG 2 SUM RANDUM POLL, DHUS RASE IZ TILTIN RRR"

Considering the guy only won by less than one percent in a Dem wave year in a reliably Democratic state, I would be very cautious too.

That was with a significant third party showing. I believe the third party candidate hurt Franken a lot more than Coleman. We probably won't see that this year.

This, plus the fact that Franken has really done a lot to improve his "serious" image which was obviously almost nonexistent when he stepped into the race in 2008 as a talk radio host and former SNL cast member.