Sconnie
Newbie
Posts: 12
Political Matrix
E: 2.81, S: -0.71
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« on: August 02, 2013, 11:32:45 AM » |
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Democrats these days are a big cocky with regard to Texas. Texas is as Republican as it has ever been; it has yet to trend Democrat. It still has a PVI of R+10, meaning it is unlikely to be competitive for several elections if indeed it trends Democrat in the future. Hispanics are likely to trend Republican in the future as they assimilate and move up the social ladder, so Democratic gains are not guaranteed. And Republicans are countering the Democrats' efforts in Texas as we speak.
Even if Texas becomes a purple or blue state, I'm not worried about the national GOP. They will simply do better in other states, Upper Midwestern states being prime candidates. No state is dominated by one political party forever (except for Maryland, perhaps), meaning some states will shift one way and other states will shift the other way to keep presidential elections competitive.
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