stevekamp
Rookie
Posts: 65
|
 |
« on: August 24, 2013, 10:30:23 PM » |
|
The off year turnout gap between 2008 and 2010 explains everything. You can also see this in the rare Ohio AG special election in 2008 (won by Richard Cordray) and the Cordray loss in 2010.
Democratic raw vote in 2008 -- 2,940,044 (all time high) R 2,677,820
Democratic raw vote in 2010 -- 1,812,047 R 1,889,180
Shift D minus 1,127,997 R minus 788,640
Democratic raw vote 2012 D 2,827,709 ( + 1,015,662) R 2,661,437 (R + 772,257)
The Kasich margin was only 77,133 -- if 10 percent of the 2008 Dems who did not voted in 2010 had voted, Strickland would have won
|
