Who will win the Senate control in November?

[Senator Cris]

Who will win the Senate control in November?

Majority Scenarios (Red = Democratic Majority; Blue = Republican Majority):

D Seats - R Seats

55-45 or more
54-46
53-47
52-48
51-49
50-50
49-50 and Orman with Democrats
49-50 and Orman with Republicans
49-51
48-52
47-53
46-54
45-55 or more

[Senator Cris]

I'm curious to view a lot of comments as "it will be a GOP wave in November" by some users and political commentators as Rothenberg.
The fact is that this was, is and will be a close race for control of the US Senate. It won't be, IMHO, a GOP wave (gain of all toss-up seats).
Republicans needs to gain 6 seats for the majority. Republicans are favorites to win in Montana (99%), West Virginia (99%) and South Dakota (95%) and to maintain Kentucky and Georgia.
Also they are favorites in Arkansas and Louisiana (but I think that Landrieu has still some chance to remain in Washington). So, a gain of 5 seats.
About the other seats: Democrats are favorites in New Hampshire, Michigan. About the swing states, Democrats are still favored in North Carolina and Colorado. The remaining seats, Alaska and Iowa, are pure toss-ups. Gun to my head (but not so much), Dems are favorites in Iowa. Alaska is the pure of the pure toss-ups, but Begich is running a great campaign. So, a gain of 5-6 seats.
This without considering the race in Kansas...

[Senator Cris]

I tried to find the Huffpost Election Forecaster, but I couldn't... Yet apparently they gave Democrats a 60% chance of retaining the Senate on September 5.

HuffPost: R+56% (Last updated Friday, Sept. 12, 2014, at 4:01 a.m)

Link: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-outlook

Thanks.

It's actually D +56%.

Oops. LOL. This going back and forth thing, with colors ("Red vs Blue") is driving me nuts.
But you are correct (and to my surprise) ... its a 56% chance that Dems will keep control of the Senate. Wow.

They have Hutto with 17% of chance of win in South Carolina, Curtis with 10% chance in Montana, Childers with 6% chance in Mississippi