Lumine's Election and Political Tracker (Epilogue) - Tracker Closed

[Senator Cris]

Great!

[Senator Cris]

Endorsements: (Updated)

DemPGH (Lab-WA) / Windjammer (Lab-MN)

-The Northeast Journal (Newspaper)
-The Observer (Newspaper)
-Former President and RG Fritz (Lab)
-Former President Dr. Cynic (Lab)
-Former President Averroes Nix (Lab)
-IDS Emperor Scott (Fed)
-Former Senator X (Lab)
-Pacific Speaker TheCranberry (Lab)
-Pacific Councilior Flo (Lab)
-Northeast Rep. SomebodyWhoExists (Lab)
-Midwest Rep. Adam C. Fitzgerald (Lab)
-Midwest Rep. Sol (Lab)
-Pacific Councilior Devin (Fed)
-Former Midwest Rep. and Archduke Arturo Belano (Lab)
-Former Representative and Assemblyman Butafly (TPP)

SirNick (TPP-NY) / Dallasfan65 (DR-MA)

-The Porcupine (Newspaper)
-Former President Polnut (TPP)
-Former Game Moderador and SoEA SJoyce (TPP)
-Secretary of External Affairs Superique (TPP)
-Senator LumineVonReuental (Fed)
-Senator Shua (DR)
-Former Senator and IDS Legislator Maxwell (DR)
-Former Mideast Governor Spiral (DR)
-Northeast Rep. BaconBacon96 (DR)
-Former Mideast Assemblyman MadmanMotley (DR)
-Former Pacific Justice IBDD (UNDA)

And... Andrew/Andrew?

[Senator Cris]

As there is no Winfield for President, I will no longer be running for Vice President. I am announcing that I will be running for Co-President

Andrew is now running for President. Why him isn't included in the candidates list?

[Senator Cris]

Labor Party Convention - Endorsement voting on the Mideast and IDS Senate races.[/i]

Voters: 5 (for the Mideast race, the vote of Windjammer isn't included)

IDS SENATE:

North Carolina Yankee (Federalist) 4 (80,0%)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) 1 (20,0%)

MIDEAST SENATE:

Benconstine (The People's Party) 4 (100,0%)
DC Al Fine (Federalist) 0 (0,0%)
MadmanMotley (Democratic-Republican) 0 (0,0%)

[Senator Cris]

Federalist Convention
Endorsement vote on the Presidential Race.

Voters = 10

None of the Above 5 (50%)
Fmr. Governor Sirnick (TPP-NY)/Governor Dallasfan (DR-MA) 3 (30%)
Governor DemPGH (LAB-WA)/Governor Windjammer (LAB-MN) 2 (20%)

[Senator Cris]

[Senator Cris]

Voting by party.

FED (28,6% of total) --> (17/50) 34,0%
LAB (28% of total) --> (15/49) 30,6%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> (0/12) 0,0%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> (6/12) 50,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> (2/6) 33,3%
Others (9,7% of total) --> (2/17) 11,8%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> (5/29) 17,3%

TOTAL --> (47/175) 26,9%

[Senator Cris]

I can post a projection on the final results?

[Senator Cris]

Last vote counted: Pessimistic Antineutrino

Voting by party.

FED (28,6% of total) --> (21/50) 42,0%
LAB (28% of total) --> (17/49) 34,7%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> (0/12) 0,0%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> (6/12) 50,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> (2/6) 33,3%
Others (9,7% of total) --> (2/17) 11,8%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> (5/29) 17,3%

TOTAL --> (53/175) 30,3%

FED (28,6% of total) --> DemPGH (10/21) 47,6% SirNick (11/21) 52,4%
LAB (28% of total) --> DemPGH (17/17) 100,0% SirNick (0/17) 0,0%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (0/0) 0,0% SirNick (0/0) 0,0%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (0/6) 0,0% SirNick (6/6) 100,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> DemPGH (1/2) 50,0% SirNick (1/2) 50,0%
Others (9,7% of total) --> DemPGH (1/2) 50,0% SirNick (1/2) 50,0%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> DemPGH (3/5) 60,0% SirNick (2/5) 40,0%

TOTAL --> DemPGH (32/53) 60,4% SirNick (21/49) 39,4%

Assuming that all the TPP registered will vote for SirNick, the projection (assuming that ALL the 175 registered will vote and considering that the current distribution of the vote among the parties will be the same) is:

DemPGH --> (102/175) --> 58,1%
SirNick --> (73/175) --> 41,9%

MoE: High.

[Senator Cris]

For the Midwest Senate Race:

Voting by party.

FED (19,3% of total) --> (4/6) 66,7%
LAB (45,2% of total) --> (3/14) 21,4%
TPP (0% of total) --> (0/0) 0,0%
D-R (0% of total) --> (0/0) 0,0%
AAPRJD (9,7% of total) --> (1/3) 33,3%
Others (12,9% of total) --> (1/4) 25,0%
Ind (12,9% of total) --> (2/4) 50,0%

TOTAL --> (11/31) 35,4%

FED (19,3% of total) --> TNF (0/4) 0,0% RR1997 (4/4) 100,0%
LAB (45,2% of total) --> TNF (2/3) 66,7% RR1997 (1/3) 33,3%
AAPRJD (9,7% of total) --> TNF (1/3) 100,0% RR1997 (0/3) 0,0%
Others (12,9% of total) --> TNF (0/4) 0,0% RR1997 (1/4) 100,0%
Ind (12,9% of total) --> TNF (1/2) 50,0% RR1997 (1/2) 50,0%

TOTAL --> DemPGH (4/11) 36,4% RR1997 (7/11) 63,6%

Assuming that ALL the 31 registered will vote and considering that the current distribution of the vote among the parties will be the same, the projection is:

TNF --> (14,4/31) --> 46,2%
RR1997 --> (16,6/31) --> 53,8%

MoE: High.

Close race, because I think that among the Labor voters, TNF will get a major percentage.

[Senator Cris]

With the projections method of previous posts, in the Midwest, we have a draw between TNF and his challenger RR1997: 50-50!

[Senator Cris]

Last vote counted: Arturo Belano

Turnout by party.

FED (28,6% of total) --> (24/50) 48,0%
LAB (28% of total) --> (22/49) 44,5%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> (4/12) 33,3%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> (6/12) 50,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> (2/6) 33,3%
Others (9,7% of total) --> (4/17) 23,5%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> (7/29) 24,1%

TOTAL --> (69/175) 39,4%

FED (28,6% of total) --> DemPGH (11/24) 45,8% SirNick (13/24) 54,2%
LAB (28% of total) --> DemPGH (22/22) 100,0% SirNick (0/22) 0,0%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (1/4) 25,0% SirNick (3/4) 75,0%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (0/6) 0,0% SirNick (6/6) 100,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> DemPGH (1/2) 50,0% SirNick (1/2) 50,0%
Others (9,7% of total) --> DemPGH (3/4) 75,0% SirNick (1/4) 25,0%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> DemPGH (4/7) 57,1% SirNick (3/7) 42,9%

TOTAL --> DemPGH (42/69) 60,9% SirNick (27/69) 39,1%

Assuming that ALL the 175 registered will vote and considering that the current distribution of the vote among the parties will be the same, the projection is:

DemPGH --> (107,2/175) --> 61,3%
SirNick --> (67,8/175) --> 38,7%

[Senator Cris]

For the Midwest Senate Race:

Turnout by party.

FED (19,3% of total) --> (4/6) 66,7%
LAB (41,9% of total) --> (4/13) 30,8%
TPP (0% of total) --> (0/0) 0,0%
D-R (0% of total) --> (0/0) 0,0%
AAPRJD (9,7% of total) --> (1/3) 33,3%
Others (12,9% of total) --> (1/4) 25,0%
Ind (16,1% of total) --> (3/5) 60,0%

TOTAL --> (13/31) 41,9%

FED (19,3% of total) --> TNF (0/4) 0,0% RR1997 (4/4) 100,0%
LAB (45,2% of total) --> TNF (4/4) 100,0% RR1997 (0/4) 0,0%
AAPRJD (9,7% of total) --> TNF (1/3) 100,0% RR1997 (0/3) 0,0%
Others (12,9% of total) --> TNF (0/4) 0,0% RR1997 (1/4) 100,0%
Ind (12,9% of total) --> TNF (1/3) 33,3% RR1997 (2/3) 66,7%

TOTAL --> TNF (6/13) 46,1% RR1997 (7/13) 53,9%

Assuming that ALL the 31 registered will vote and considering that the current distribution of the vote among the parties will be the same, the projection is:

TNF --> (17,7/31) --> 57,0%
RR1997 --> (13,3/31) --> 43,0%

[Senator Cris]

Last vote counted: Velasco

Turnout by party:

FED (28,6% of total) --> (27/50) 54,0%
LAB (28% of total) --> (27/49) 55,1%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> (8/12) 66,7%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> (8/12) 66,7%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> (2/6) 33,3%
Others (9,7% of total) --> (7/17) 41,2%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> (11/29) 37,9%

TOTAL --> (90/175) 51,4%

Voting by party:

FED (28,6% of total) --> DemPGH (12/27) 44,4% SirNick (15/27) 55,6%
LAB (28% of total) --> DemPGH (27/27) 100,0% SirNick (0/27) 0,0%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (2/8) 25,0% SirNick (6/8) 75,0%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (0/8) 0,0% SirNick (8/8) 100,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> DemPGH (1/2) 50,0% SirNick (1/2) 50,0%
Others (9,7% of total) --> DemPGH (6/7) 85,7% SirNick (1/7) 14,3%
Ind (16,6% of total) --> DemPGH (6/11) 54,5% SirNick (5/11) 45,5%

TOTAL --> DemPGH (54/90) 60% SirNick (36/90) 40%

Assuming that ALL the 175 registered will vote and considering that the current distribution of the vote among the parties will be the same, the projection is:

DemPGH --> (107,6/175) --> 61,5%
SirNick --> (67,4/175) --> 38,5%

[Senator Cris]

Voter List
Effective June 10, 2014

jdb

Northeast

NY

TPP

0

18-Jul-14

aka Mr. X

[Senator Cris]

Last vote counted: Simfan34

Turnout by party:

FED (28,6% of total) --> (34/50) 68,0%
LAB (27,4% of total) --> (30/48) 62,5%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> (11/12) 91,7%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> (10/12) 83,3%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> (3/6) 50,0%
Others (9,7% of total) --> (10/17) 58,8%
Ind (17,1% of total) --> (15/30) 50,0%

TOTAL --> (113/175) 64,6%

Voting by party:

FED (28,6% of total) --> DemPGH (12/33) 36,4% SirNick (21/33) 63,6% Exhausted 1 (Not Counted)
LAB (27,4% of total) --> DemPGH (29/30) 96,7% SirNick (1/30) 3,3%
TPP (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (2/11) 18,2% SirNick (9/11) 81,8%
D-R (6,9% of total) --> DemPGH (0/10) 0,0% SirNick (10/10) 100,0%
AAPRJD (3,4% of total) --> DemPGH (1/3) 33,3% SirNick (2/3) 66,7%
Others (9,7% of total) --> DemPGH (8/10) 80,0% SirNick (2/10) 20,0%
Ind (17,1% of total) --> DemPGH (9/15) 60,0% SirNick (6/15) 40,0%

TOTAL --> DemPGH (61/112) 54,5% (- 5,5% from the last update)  SirNick (51/112) 45,5% (+ 5,5%)

Assuming that ALL the 175 registered will vote and considering that the current distribution of the vote among the parties will be the same, the projection is:

DemPGH --> (100,4/175) --> 57,4%
SirNick --> (74,6/175) --> 42,6%
GAP (of the projection) --> 25,8 votes (- 14,4 votes) --> 14,8% (- 8,2%)

[Senator Cris]

I have 62 for DemPGH and 51 for Sirnick, with the last vote counted of Adam FitzGerald.

[Senator Cris]

However, I think that DemPGH and Windjammer will vote for their ticket as Dallasfan will vote for SirNick, therefore we will have 64 for DemPGH and 52 for SirNick, with a lead of 12 votes and a turnout of 117/175 (66,9%).
Considered that 15 laborites (excluding DemPGH and Windjammer) didn't vote, and if they will vote, the votes will go to DemPGH, the remaining voters (that can vote for SirNick) are 43.

[Senator Cris]

However, I think that DemPGH and Windjammer will vote for their ticket as Dallasfan will vote for SirNick, therefore we will have 64 for DemPGH and 52 for SirNick, with a lead of 12 votes and a turnout of 117/175 (66,9%).
Considered that 15 laborites (excluding DemPGH and Windjammer) didn't vote, and if they will vote, the votes will go to DemPGH, the remaining voters (that can vote for SirNick) are 43.

I will have them all O_O

To take the lead, you need the votes of 13 of these registered (43) without that one of the remaining 30 registered will vote for DemPGH. Improbable.