The probability that a potential 2016 candidate will run for president (user search)

The probability that a potential 2016 candidate will run for president.

Indicate a percentage of propability for each potential candidate.

Republicans:

Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
Rand Paul
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Paul Ryan
Jeb Bush
Scott Walker
Rick Santorum
John Kasich
Bobby Jindal
Scott Brown
Mitt Romney
Allen West
Peter King
Jon Hunstman
Rick Perry
Donald Trump
Susana Martinez
Nikki Haley
Kelly Ayotte
Sarah Palin
Ken Cuccinelli
Rob Portman
Brian Sandoval
John Thune
Tim Pawlenty
Pat Toomey
Condi Rice
Mike Pence
John Bolton
Ben Carson
Mary Fallin
Rick Synder
Sam Brownback
Steve King

Democrats:

Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Andrew Cuomo
Elizabeth Warren
Martin O'Malley
Mark Warner
Tim Kaine
Kirsten Gillibrand
Amy Klobuchar
Evan Bayh
John Kerry
John Hickenlooper
Mark Udall
Terry McAuliffe
Sherrod Brown
Howard Dean
Brian Schweitzer
Joe Manchin
Kay Hagan
Janet Napolitano
Kathleen Sebelius
Cory Booker
Deval Patrick
Julian Castro

I propose to keep this thread as the official thread for this question.

You can update your prediction.

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