Gore theory (user search)
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Author Topic: Gore theory  (Read 786 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,570
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Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« on: May 14, 2008, 11:27:50 PM »

Does anyone else think Obama might've already sewn up Gore's endorsement but is having Gore not go public with it until some time when it'd be bigger? Say May 20, or maybe in June as part of a mass group of superdelegates to put Obama over 2025.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,570
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2008, 01:54:29 AM »

Does anyone else think Obama might've already sewn up Gore's endorsement but is having Gore not go public with it until some time when it'd be bigger? Say May 20, or maybe in June as part of a mass group of superdelegates to put Obama over 2025.

I have a prediction:
Gore will endorse during the next negative news cycle against Obama.   Maybe after Rezko says something stupid or NOW makes a vow to have its members never vote for a man again or something.

Like how Edwards served as a diversion from WV? Possibly. Maybe on May 20 to legitimatize Obama declaring victory after being blown away in Kentucky.

Here's some more math though, as I said last night, Obama needs about 50-60 more superdelegates to win this with the delegates he'll win in remaining primaries. Now that's down to 40-50 with Edwards' endorsement, if we give Obama at least 10 of Edwards' 19 delegates (he's already gotten 1 and is pretty much guaranteed 3 Edwards was projected to win statewide in Iowa.) At a rate of 2 superdelegate endorsements a day (what's he's been getting now roughly, and he should get a flood after May 20), he'll close that or come pretty close by June 3. Perhaps Gore might announce as the "leader" of a batch of superdelegates on June 4 to coronate Obama, or maybe declare on the eve of the election (maybe right after Puerto Rico or even right before it) also as the "leader" of a batch of superdelegates, closing the gap enough so that Montana and South Dakota can put Obama over the top, (thus "democraticizing" his victory)
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