Puerto Rico switches to Primary, moves up to June 1st

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It's tough to say if this helps Hillary or Obama. The caucus format didn't benefit Obama in the heavily Hispanic parts of Texas, in some counties Hillary ran 10 points ahead of her primary numbers there. At the same time we don't know if Puerto Ricans will be like mainland Hispanics in voting. We'll probably get a poll from it at some point though.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Bad news for Obama...probably.  Although he seems to do better among primary-attending Hispanics than caucus-attending ones (see: Texas)

Ever hear of California? 

Did California also have a caucus in addition to its primary allowing us to compare Hillary and Obama's performances in each respective contest? No.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Here's a few county comparisons of Hillary's numbers in Texas (note that the caucuses aren't all in yet but it's unlikely there's going to be huge changes in these homogeneous counties):

El Paso:
Primary - 69%
Caucus - 75%

Webb:
Primary - 77%
Caucus - 89%

Cameron:
Primary - 68%
Caucus - 77%

Nueces:
Primary - 66%
Caucus - 74%

Hidalgo:
Primary - 73%
Caucus - 87%

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Bad news for Obama...probably.  Although he seems to do better among primary-attending Hispanics than caucus-attending ones (see: Texas)

Ever hear of California? 

What are you talking about?

I assume his logic is something like this:

California is a primary. Obama did bad among Hispanics in California (even though he didn't really do any worse than the typical numbers he got in other states.) Therefore that means that Obama clearly doesn't do in worse in caucuses among Hispanics than primaries even though we have nothing resembling a caucus to compare Obama's performance in California too.

Didn't say it made sense.