Official Maine Caucus Results Thread (user search)
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  Official Maine Caucus Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official Maine Caucus Results Thread  (Read 19909 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: February 10, 2008, 05:08:51 PM »

Obama is slightly ahead and Portland isn't in. BAD news for Clinton...
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2008, 05:42:00 PM »

Hillary better listen to some more emo.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2008, 05:59:08 PM »

Hillary needs more than 60% of the areas that are still out to win this one.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2008, 06:00:28 PM »

CNN has "assured" people that Clinton may squeak this out with a win because alot of areas that havnt come in have been friendly to her....so says Candy Crowley.

And in other news, Portland is still at 0%.

So is everything else.  We have no idea where these results are coming from.

Verily posted a map: http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&msa=0&msid=108855644820400443340.000445d3794716293aa9b&z=7&om=0
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2008, 06:03:08 PM »

All CNN not calling it yet means is that they are less than 99.65% sure.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2008, 06:12:48 PM »

All CNN not calling it yet means is that they are less than 99.65% sure.

Arbitrary choice there? If you had said 99.73, then you might have been more compelling.

No, that's actually the official percentage of confidence that they use.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #6 on: February 10, 2008, 06:22:45 PM »


I'm not sure how French Auburn is compared to Lewiston, but the population must be at least somewhat substantial. It was very close, 55-54 Obama.

Lewiston: French Canadian (29.4%), French (18.3%)
Auburn: French (20.3%),  French Canadian (17.1%)
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2008, 06:25:27 PM »

CNN keeps saying Clinton can still win for an obvious reason: Ratings. If they said it's likely over, people will quit watching.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2008, 06:29:33 PM »


Verily posted this: http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&msa=0&msid=108855644820400443340.000445d3794716293aa9b&z=7&om=0
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #9 on: February 10, 2008, 06:45:16 PM »

Hillary needs over 70% in the areas that are still out to win. This one is over.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #10 on: February 10, 2008, 06:47:26 PM »

A lot of people brought up the "church" factor but if anything that was probably a slight net negative for Obama due to the time the caucuses were held, with old people more likely to go to church in the morning and young people in the evening. Very very small negative though, almost negligible.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #11 on: February 10, 2008, 06:50:28 PM »

CNN calls it.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2008, 06:54:32 PM »


They did? Cause im watching Lou Dobbs currently and it has nothing about Maine anywhere.

It's projected on their website. Check it out.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #13 on: February 10, 2008, 07:01:20 PM »

Is there any reason why Francophones prefer Clinton over Obama?

They're relatively poor, blue collar, and "traditionalist". Clinton pretty much always wins "ethnic" whites, see Irish and Italians. Luckily Scandinavians are the exception. Smiley
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #14 on: February 10, 2008, 07:02:12 PM »

With these numbers Obama likely won even CD-2.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #15 on: February 10, 2008, 07:05:09 PM »


Any idea where those results are, so that we can call the delegates?

It's just a guess really, but a narrow Clinton victory in CD-2 would mean a 2:1 Obama victory in CD-1 and it can't be THAT regionally polarized.

CNN's currently projecting 15 delegates for Obama and 9 for Clinton.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,517
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #16 on: February 11, 2008, 04:36:55 AM »

I did. Smiley
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