official Nevada Republican results thread (user search)
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: January 19, 2008, 02:50:57 PM »

Romney could get serious momentum from this just because of his margin.

And if Paul beats McCain...ouch.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2008, 02:53:03 PM »

So under current numbers Romney would take ALL delegates?
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2008, 03:01:03 PM »

CNN's entrance poll breaks it into two religion categories, one which counts Mormons as Protestant (wtf?). But in the second, it appears Mormons make up 25% of the voters, and Romney won 94% of them. With those numbers, no other candidate stood a chance. However Romney also won Catholics and Protestants, though Paul wins "Other Christians" (Takes up 15% of the voters, so it's not some small numbers either. Whats it mean?) over Romney 32-23.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2008, 03:13:09 PM »

Based on my extrapolation of the entrance poll, Paul should win some delegates too statewide, but no one else.

Paul could win around 6 delegates or so from this. That'll give him quite a lead of Giuliani, who doesn't have a single pledged delegate yet and still won't after today. How is he still a serious candidate?
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2008, 03:22:10 PM »

Entrance poll also shows virtually no difference between urban, suburban and rural areas.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2008, 03:26:51 PM »

I like how Romney wins 28% of those who said the most important candidate quality is "Says what he believes". Those he loses that to Paul, and wins the other two for which there are results by wide margins, so there's some logic there. But still, what are those thinking?
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2008, 05:10:55 PM »

LOL@Gully getting owned.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,561
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2008, 06:47:57 PM »

yay! Rudy gets a delegate! We'll have the momentum for Florida!

If that isn't sarcasm...
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