MD-Rasmussen: Clinton would lose solid Democratic state to McCain

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

LOL.

This is probably a good argument to chuck all GE polls out now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

give clinton arkansas and then it will be perfect.

LOL...

Why do people continually ignore the fact that Clinton leads by more in Arkansas than any other state polled? At least the GOP hack here can recognize this.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

If the poll in Maryland proves true or McCain wins the popular vote by 6-7%, 1988 style, and I mean HUGE IF, then I don't see how Arkansas can possibly go blue. It would have to jump left by over 15 points. Bill could do that back when Arkansas was much more Dem on the national level. Hillary won't, and Arkansas has been trending GOP. Giving the same argument about state trends vs. the national average:
From '92 to '96, AR swung slightly towards Dole, making Clinton lose ground by 4 points relative to the national average.

I'll take polls over faulty trend logic. Go explain the trend in Georgia between 1960 and 1984. There's a hell of a lot of independent factors that can throw it off balance.