Prediction stagnation?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

WV at Lean Republican is rather amusing.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Because it's not a Republican state, and the GOP candidate will likely be much worse for the state than Bush in 2004 (especially Giuliani, who is about as awful as you can get for a candidate for WV. He's at the polar opposite with it on almost every issue)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'd have to disagree with you in part.  West Virginia is unlikely to go for the Democratic candidate more strongly than the national PV goes in a strictly two-party race.  I do have to wonder about the 66 of 174 predictions that have it as a Strong GOP state though.  Absent a third party that fractures the anti-GOPers I can't see WV as any better than Lean GOP.

Based on what? Against a cultural conservative I can understand this argument though it is still rather flawed, but what appeal does Giuliani have in West Virginia?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Don't expect anything other than flukey movements until:

1-We have a clue who the nominees will be and
2-State polls start to come out regularly.