California recall and time to call predictions

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I say Newsom survives and this is declared election night, it'll still be mathematically possible for him to go down in the coming days but it'll be clear based on the results we have that he won't.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

At this point, the recall succeeding would be arguably the most surprising electoral result in my lifetime.

That would still be New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2008.

It'd be up there though.