How likely is a complete GOP shutout?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

By that mean the GOP doesn't pick up a single seat in Congress or governorship. Nothing.

It actually looks pretty likely at this point. If you look at the polls maps, there currently isn't a single seat that the GOP is projected to pick up in the Senate. And they probably don't have a chance at any one anymore except New Jersey. The same is true for governorships, and the only chances they have are Michigan, Iowa and Maine.

As for the House, there's only 4 Democratic-held seats listed as vulnerable, and in all the Dems appear to be favored.

I'd put the odds at 50/50. That'd be quite amazing. Even the Dems did make a few gains in 1994.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

pretty low.  we are going to make one gain in mn, for example.

When do you expect Kennedy to lead in the first poll in the entire election?

Oh yeah, odds are 10:1 on Kennedy on TradeSports. You should go bid now, you'd make a fortune.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Point is, if you are so confident of a Kennedy victory, you should bid. You'd make a fortune.

Kennedy is running a rather weak campaign, he's down by 8-10, and he has no real advantages at this point. I've yet to hear a good argument of why he is likely to win at this point.

The Republican hasn't led in a single poll in Iowa. It's close enough for him to have a chance still, but he's certainly not favored.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

That type of thinking may make sense, except the polls aren't reflecting it.

Obviously people care more about the fact that Kennedy is a 100% Bush rubber stamp than Klobuchar's position. I wouldn't even call the race competitive now.

Klobuchar is in an elected position though, and Arlen Specter was only a district attorney (Klobuchar is county attorney, a higher position) before he was elected to Senate, so it's hardly unprecendented either.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

That type of thinking may make sense, except the polls aren't reflecting it.

Obviously people care more about the fact that Kennedy is a 100% Bush rubber stamp than Klobuchar's position. I wouldn't even call the race competitive now.

Klobuchar is in an elected position though, and Arlen Specter was only a district attorney (Klobuchar is county attorney, a higher position) before he was elected to Senate, so it's hardly unprecendented either.

the da of philadelphia county is a pretty important office.

So is the County Attorney of Hennepin County.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I actually forget whether the Dems picked up a Governorship that year.

I know for a fact we got at least one. Tony Knowles was first elected in Alaska that year. Of course, that was a pick up from the Alaskan Independence Party, not the Republicans.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well this did happen after all.

brtd, the senate race in mn wouldnt even be competitive for the gop if the democrats had a qualified candidate.

ive often wondered, how come mn cant get qualified dems to run?  walter fing mondale in 02?  amy klobacher in 06?

roger moe for governor?

republicans havent carried the state in a presidential race since 1972, but the best you all can get to run for the senate is some kind of divorce attorney.

Yes, such a TERRIBLE candidate. A better one might've taken Otter Tail!