How long can a state be "trending Republican" without any Republican statewide victories?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

A thought that came to me, people have insisted Minnesota is "trending Republican" since I started posting here. But it's been 14 years of "trending Republican" since the last time a Republican won a statewide election.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

A thought that came to me, people have insisted Minnesota is "trending Republican" since I started posting here. But it's been 14 years of "trending Republican" since the last time a Republican won a statewide election.

Also, perhaps an ominous sign: while Minnesota Democrats did win the total U.S. House vote in 2020, Minnesota was actually right of the US as a whole (MN was D+2.5, the US as a whole was D+3.1). I don't know when the last time was that that happened, but it was before the 21st century at least.

Come on man, you should know that was because of Ilhan Omar's extreme underperformance, which wouldn't apply to virtually any other Democrat. What would be the numbers if the Democratic candidate in MN-05 received the same number of votes as Biden?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Technically forever. Just apply Zeno's Paradox to the swing.

Not really, because Zeno's Paradox is based on the premise that you can divide a distance into an infinite number of pieces. That wouldn't be true with voting numbers since eventually you'd hit a swing of only one vote.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

As a point of information Minnesota currently has a 4/4 delegation, which its had twice prior this century 2011-2013, and 2001-2007. This is likely due to the political geography of the state, but I think Minnesota is like Florida. It’s always just out of reach statewide, but the out party can be very competitive in the congressional seats.

Of course previous 4/4 delegations were based on Collin Peterson, so it was more like 3.5/8 Democrats.