How likely is it Minnesota flips in 2020?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

If the polling of MN-08 is accurate, the state is gone for the Democrats. And I have a hard time seeing how Peterson holds on if the iron range looks like that.

"Let's ignore every other poll of the state this cycle and instead make long term projections based on a single dubious unfinished poll and contradicts the exact same poll done a few weeks earlier."

This is absurd even by your standards.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Good posts Koharu. Here's another thing I like to point out: college turnout in 2016 sucked. That's why Hillary lost Blue Earth, Nicollet, Winona, Rice and Clay counties. Not likely to happen again with how riled and anti-Trump college campuses are now.