I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
Posts: 113,532
Political Matrix E: -6.50, S: -6.67
|
|
« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2014, 12:25:51 AM » |
|
It's worth noting that Mississippi is about 4% neither white nor black, so in a 50% black, 46% white and 4% other demographic, the Democrats definitely have the advantage even if the other vote is about 50/50, which it probably isn't. Also let's compare two counties:
Attala County Romney 5,126 56.38% Obama 3,927 43.19%
Yazoo County Obama 6,603 56.82% Romney 4,941 42.52%
Alright, so pretty close to mirror images in voting percentages. Now demographics:
Attala County 56.2% White 42.0% Black
Yazoo County 44.74% White 53.96% Black
And finally population:
Attala County 19,564 (~46% turnout) Yazoo County 28,065 (~41% turnout)
So based on that I'm sure someone could calculate turnout rates for both whites and blacks, but I'm too tired to do it now. However it does appear that the 4% other would prevent it from being a true pure swing state.
|