What are Obama's odds of reelection/defeat?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I think what sirnick was trying to say is that there is a 100% chance that Obama will either be re-elected or defeated.

Which is not entirely true, it is possible he ends up not running for re-election after all or resigns or dies whatever, not likely, but certainly above a 0% chance. So probably closer to a 99% chance.