NC-2: Etheridge down 46/41 (SUSA)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is a conservative outfit that ordered the poll, so we'll see what happens. It flipped in 1994 and then flipped back in 1996, so this wouldn't be a long term GOP hold.

I think you mean the neighboring NC-4 (which is still represented by the same guy actually)

Actually, strike that, this district flipped too.  Though the previous one was more competitive (Obama won the current iteration by a few points).  If the republicans can block a Democratic gerrymander, then they should be able to hold this seat pretty easily.

It's not that easy. It already includes the entirety of Johnston County, the only real Republican bastion in that area. You can't really mess with eastern NC because of the VRA, can't move into NC-13 or 4 without making it more Democratic obviously, and the bordering areas in NC-07 are either Democratic or swing. The only real option is to give it Moore county from NC-06 in exchange for some of the rural areas north of there. Total makes it about 52% McCain. Not safe for someone as bad as Ellmer.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Neither Price or Miller need to be shored up. Price already represents the most Democratic majority white district in the South. Miller drew his own seat and can't really be made more Dem, add more of Raleigh you just have to shed parts of Raleigh or Greensboro. You can't shed the rural counties because they connect it. I don't see how to even draw a 55% McCain district with this one.