The latino population (user search)
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Author Topic: The latino population  (Read 2713 times)
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« on: October 09, 2013, 09:50:02 PM »

Here is Pew Research Center's latest statistics from 2011 on the percentages of latinos in each state, both of the entire population, the under 18 population as well as the growth rate in each state. Source: http://www.pewhispanic.org/states/

All in all, Pew reported there were 52 million latinos living in the US in 2011, up from 50.5 million a year earlier. Based on this growth rate, we should expect about 56 million latinos living in the US at this day in time. Now, let's get back to the 2011 statistics.

State ranking on the entire latino population:

1.   New Mexico – 47%
2.   California – 38%
3.   Texas – 38%
4.   Arizona – 30%
5.   Nevada – 27%
6.   Florida – 23%
7.   Colorado – 21%
8.   New York – 18%
9.   New Jersey – 18%
      US average – 17%
10.   Illinois – 16%
11.   Connecticut – 14%
12.   Rhode Island – 13%
13.   Utah – 13%
14.   Oregon – 12%
15.   Washington – 12%
16.   Kansas – 11%
17.   Idaho – 11%
18.   Massachusetts – 10%
19.   Nebraska – 9%
20.   Oklahoma – 9%
21.   Hawaii – 9%
22.   Wyoming – 9%
23.   North Carolina – 9%
24.   Georgia – 9%
25.   Delaware – 8%
26.   Maryland – 8%
27.   Virginia – 8%
28.   Arkansas – 6%
29.   Pennsylvania – 6%
30.   Indiana – 6%
31.   Wisconsin – 6%
32.   Alaska – 6%
33.   Iowa – 5%
34.   Michigan – 5%
35.   Minnesota – 5%
36.   South Carolina – 5%
37.   Tennessee – 5%
38.   Missouri – 4%
39.   Alabama – 4%
40.   Louisiana – 4%
41.   Ohio – 3%
42.   Kentucky – 3%
43.   New Hampshire – 3%
44.   Mississippi – 3%
45.   Montana – 3%
46.   South Dakota – 3%
47.   North Dakota – 2%
48.   West Virginia – 1%
49.   Maine – 1%
50.   Vermont – 1%


Under 18 population rank:

1.   New Mexico – 59%
2.   California – 52%
3.   Texas – 49%
4.   Arizona – 44%
5.   Nevada – 40%
6.   Colorado – 31%
7.   Florida – 28%
8.   Illinois – 24%
      US average – 24%
9.   New York – 23%
10.   New Jersey – 23%
11.   Rhode Island – 21%
12.   Oregon – 21%
13.   Washington – 20%
14.   Utah – 17%
15.   Kansas – 17%
16.   Idaho – 17%
17.   Nebraska – 16%
18.   Massachusetts – 15%
19.   Oklahoma – 15%
20.   Hawaii – 15%
21.   Wyoming – 15%
22.   North Carolina – 14%
23.   Connecticut – 14%
24.   Delaware – 14%
25.   Georgia – 13%
26.   Maryland – 12%
27.   Virginia – 11%
28.   Arkansas – 11%
29.   Pennsylvania – 10%
30.   Indiana – 10%
31.   Wisconsin – 10%
32.   Iowa – 9%
33.   Alaska – 8%
34.   Michigan – 8%
35.   Minnesota – 8%
36.   South Carolina – 8%
37.   Tennessee – 7%
38.   Missouri – 6%
39.   Alabama – 6%
40.   Louisiana – 5%
41.   Ohio – 5%
42.   Kentucky – 5%
43.   New Hampshire – 5%
44.   Mississippi – 4%
45.   South Dakota – 4%
46.   Montana – 4% ? (n/a)
47.   North Dakota – 3% ? (n/a)
48.   West Virginia – 2%
49.   Maine – 2% ? (n/a)
50.   Vermont – 2% ? (n/a)


Biggest latino increase Under 18 versus Total population:

1.   California +14%
2.   Arizona +14%
3.   Nevada +13%
4.   New Mexico +12%
5.   Texas +11%
6.   Colorado +10%
7.   Oregon +9%
8.   Illinois +8%
9.   Rhode Island +8%
10.   Washington +8%
11.   Nebraska +7%
       US average +7%
12.   Kansas +6%
13.   Idaho +6%
14.   Oklahoma +6%
15.   Hawaii +6%
16.   Wyoming +6%
17.   Delaware +6%
18.   Florida +5%
19.   New York +5%
20.   New Jersey +5%
21.   Massachusetts +5%
22.   North Carolina +5%
23.   Arkansas +5%
24.   Utah +4%
25.   Georgia +4%
26.   Maryland +4%
27.   Pennsylvania +4%
28.   Indiana +4%
29.   Wisconsin +4%
30.   Iowa +4%
31.   Virginia +3%
32.   Michigan +3%
33.   Minnesota +3%
34.   South Carolina +3%
35.   Alaska +2%
36.   Tennessee +2%
37.   Missouri +2%
38.   Alabama +2%
39.   Ohio +2%
40.   Kentucky +2%
41.   New Hampshire +2%
42.   Louisiana +1%
43.   Mississippi +1%
44.   South Dakota +1%
45.   West Virginia +1%
46.   Montana – n/a
47.   North Dakota – n/a
48.   Maine – n/a
49.   Vermont – n/a
50.   Connecticut – No change


I've also costume-made this particular chart involving all three rankings above. I've awarded a state one point for topping each ranking, two points for placing second and so on.

Total latino points (current + under 18 + growth):

1.   California – 4 points
2.   New Mexico – 6 points
3.   Arizona – 10 points
4.   Texas – 11 points
5.   Nevada – 13 points
6.   Colorado – 19 points
7.   Illinois – 26 points
8.   Florida – 31 points
      US average – 31 points
9.   Rhode Island – 32 points
10.   Oregon – 33 points
11.   New York – 36 points
12.   Washington – 38 points
13.   New Jersey – 39 points
14.   Kansas – 43 points
15.   Idaho – 46 points
16.   Nebraska – 47 points
17.   Utah – 51 points
18.   Oklahoma – 53 points
19.   Hawaii – 56 points
20.   Massachusetts – 57 points
21.   Wyoming – 59 points
22.   Delaware – 66 points
23.   North Carolina – 67 points
24.   Georgia – 74 points
25.   Maryland – 78 points
26.   Arkansas – 79 points
27.   Connecticut – 84 points
28.   Virginia – 85 points
29.   Pennsylvania – 85 points
30.   Indiana – 88 points
31.   Wisconsin – 91 points
32.   Iowa – 95 points
33.   Michigan – 100 points
34.   Alaska – 100 points
35.   Minnesota – 103 points
36.   South Carolina – 106 points
37.   Tennessee – 110 points
38.   Missouri – 113 points
39.   Alabama – 116 points
40.   Ohio – 121 points
41.   Louisiana – 122 points
42.   Kentucky – 124 points
43.   New Hampshire – 127 points
44.   Mississippi – 131 points
45.   South Dakota – 135 points
46.   Montana – 137 points
47.   North Dakota – 141 points
48.   West Virginia – 141 points
49.   Maine – 146 points
50.   Vermont – 149 points


As the latino population is by far the ethnic population expected to increase the most over the next decades, reaching 30% of the entire US population by 2050, which would mean more than 130 million latinos living in the states at that time, what do these statistics tell us about where each state is heading in the electoral winds that keep blowing? And which of the rankings would you consider the most important in that aspect? The growth rate? The under 18 population? Notice how little the latino percentage in states like Connecticut and Utah are growing compared to most similar states like them. They both have 13-14% latinos as of today (which is quite a lot compared to most other states), yet they don't have a lot of latino youth/children at all. One reason, for Utah, might be that the white population in that state still have a ton of children as well. Connecticut is harder to explain however.
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2013, 05:35:38 AM »

These were the latino percentage of actual eligible voters in the 2012 election by state:

New Mexico: 39%
California: 26%
Texas: 26%
Arizona: 19%
Florida: 16%
Nevada: 15%
Colorado: 14%
New York: 13%
New Jersey: 11%
Illinois: 9%
Connecticut: 9%
Utah: 7%
Rhode Island: 7%
Hawaii: 7%
Massachusetts: 6%
Washington: 6%
Kansas: 6%
Idaho: 6%
Wyoming: 6%
Oregon: 5%
Nebraska: 5%
Washington D.C.: 5%
Pennsylvania: 4%
Virginia: 4%
Maryland: 4%
Oklahoma: 4%
Georgia: 3%
Michigan: 3%
North Carolina: 3%
Wisconsin: 3%
Indiana: 3%
Louisiana: 3%
Ohio: 2%
Tennessee: 2%
Minnesota: 2%
Missouri: 2%
South Carolina: 2%
Arkansas: 2%
Iowa: 2%
Kentucky: 1%
Alabama: 1%
Mississippi: 1%

No doubt these percentages will increase markedly in almost every single state in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Reasons being that the average latino is about 14 years younger than the average white American and that such a huge percentage of the latino population, and in particular of the legal/citizen latino population, are still under 18.

Source: http://www.pewhispanic.org/category/election-fact-sheets/page/1/
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2013, 11:17:00 PM »

Let's imagine that the latino population in each of the 50 states + D.C. will grow with the same percentage during the next 20 years, that is to say between 2010 and 2030 as it's been growing for the past two decades, that is between 1990 and 2010. Then where will USA be by then? A small thought experiment here, but hopefully a slightly provcative one. Tongue So these will be the latino percentages in each state by 2030 if the same growth continues for two more decades:


1. New Mexico: 54.4%
2. Texas: 49.7%
3. California: 49.4%
4. Nevada: 41.6%
5. Arizona: 40.4%
6. Florida: 32.8%
7. Colorado: 28.5%
8. New Jersey: 25.8%
9. Illinois: 23.7%
National average: 23.6%
10. New York: 22.9%
11. Utah: 21.1%
12. Connecticut: 20.3%
13. Rhode Island: 20.2%
14. Oregon: 19.4%
15. Washington: 18%
16. Kansas: 17.2
17. Idaho: 17.1%
18. Nebraska: 16.1%
19. Georgia: 15.9%
20. North Carolina: 15.6%
21. Oklahoma: 15.1%
22. Massachusetts: 14.4%
23. Delaware: 14%
24. Maryland: 13.8%
25. Virginia: 13.2%
26. Washington D.C.: 12.8%
27. Wyoming: 12.1%
28. Arkansas: 12%
29. Hawaii: 10.5%
30. Indiana: 10.2%
31. Wisconsin: 9.9%
32. Pennsylvania: 9.4%
33. South Carolina: 9.3%
34. Iowa: 8.8%
35. Tennessee: 8.5%
36. Minnesota: 8.2%
37. Alaska: 7.8%
38. Alabama: 7.2%
39. Michigan: 6.6%
40. Louisiana: 6.2%
41. Missouri: 5.8%
42. Kentucky: 5.6%
43. Ohio: 4.9%
44. Mississippi: 4.8%
45. South Dakota: 4.6%
46. New Hampshire: 4.6%
47. Montana: 4.3%
48. North Dakota: 3.3%
49. Vermont: 2.3%
50. Maine: 2%
51. West Virginia: 1.9%

Source on past growth: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_Hispanic_and_Latino_population#Hispanic.2FLatino_.25_of_Population_.281910-2010.29_by_U.S._State

Thoughts? Smiley
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