eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,501
Political Matrix E: -6.00, S: -5.65
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« on: September 12, 2014, 07:07:08 AM » |
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The median of the last 7 polls (August 26-September 11), all conducted after the last debate, show a median No lead of 5%, while the average No lead has been 3.7%. The average of the last 5 polls however has been No +2.8%. And the average of the last three polls has been No +3%. A No victory of anywhere between +2% and +5% is probably the likeliest right now. According to 538, about 20% of the Scottish electorate has already voted early by mail in ballots.
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