Barely Democrat States

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New Mexico and Nevada have voted the exact same way in pretty much every single presidential election in recent history and even before that were extremely similar. Lately, their trend has put them left of center, but this century overall they've averaged to be just left of center. Let's discuss these matters along with the rising Latino/Hispanic influence on their trends too.

Nevada
New Mexico

[barfbag]

Their organization has been bad. We're never that good in the west.

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You guys are both right. I think the 2008 housing market collapse gave a false impression of a leftward trend. It's center to center-left now but not out of reach.

[barfbag]

So you have Nevada and New Mexico as barely Democratic and VA has barely Republican??  Hmm, Bias much??

In Nevada neither party can get their organizations going. Democrats do better there because of the Reid Machine. It also trended

[barfbag]

Calling New Mexico "barely democrat" is laughably absurd.

1) It went for Obama by about the same margin that South Carolina and Missouri went for Romney.

2) There is a very obvious trend given the state demographics. 

Yes there's a trend but we need to have a few elections before we actually change its category. Maybe I should've put New Hampshire in this category and Nevada in the toss up column in order to make "barely Democrat" sound more Democrat.