New Mexico, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, & Wisconsin (user search)
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  New Mexico, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, & Wisconsin (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Mexico, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, & Wisconsin  (Read 868 times)
Czarcasm
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Posts: 26
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Political Matrix
E: -0.43, S: -3.77

« on: June 16, 2013, 04:09:41 AM »

Scott Walker isn't as unpopular in Wisconsin as intra-Democratic dialogue might lead one to believe--- his campaign base is active and aggressive, while the Democratic list of potential candidates is broad, with limited name recognition and no clear frontrunner. Furthermore, Walker'll assuredly get external assistance from out-of-state donors and endorsers, as the recall has kept him in the occassional national spotlight long enough to be considered a potential Presidential candidate, despite having made no personal statements indicative of such a candidacy.

Branstad has begun fundraising, and as far as I'm concerned is likely to pursue a sixth term. The overwhelming support of corporate farming will carry him to victory-- ag runs all in Iowa; Branstad's familiar with this rule and has stood by the industry in controversial circumstance, and all while maintaining ≈50% approval. In fact, I think the most damaging circumstance for Branstad will be a lengthy and expensive primary challenge from Bob Vander Plaats or another Tea Party conservative; if such a circumstance plays out for too long, there's potential for a Democratic pickup, even in spite of the fact that Bruce Braley, Kevin McCarthy, Tom Vilsack, and other familiar favorites are all seeking other offices or declined to run.
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