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Author Topic: Rothenberg Senate Rankings  (Read 37695 times)
Nym90
nym90
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Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« on: January 14, 2009, 01:11:27 PM »
I'm sure this will be bump worthy for humorous purposes in 22 months, but here goes:

2010 Senate Ratings

Here are our latest Senate ratings.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)
    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (4 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Gregg (R-NH)
    * Specter (R-PA)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)

Currently Safe (9 R, 13 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Kaufman (D-DE)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
    * NY Open (Clinton, D)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 24, 2009, 09:54:49 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)
    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (4 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Gregg (R-NH)
    * Specter (R-PA)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)

Currently Safe (9 R, 13 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Kaufman (D-DE)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2009, 03:00:07 PM »
Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (5 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)
    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Newman, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Specter (R-PA)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)

Currently Safe (9 R, 13 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Kaufman (D-DE)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2009, 05:14:02 PM »
Quote from: brittain33 on February 07, 2009, 09:20:58 AM
Quote from: cinyc on February 06, 2009, 11:38:15 PM
Most incumbents haven't lost a race, but the last appointed temporary Senator from New York, Republican Charles Goodell, lost a three-way race to Conservative James Buckley in 1970.  That's right - New York elected a Conservative Senator within the past 40 years. 

Do you really think that has any relevance to a Senate election in New York in 2010? Are you familiar with the importance of the Nassau Republican machine to statewide wins, and what kind of shape it's in now? How about relative population growth upstate?

No Democratic senator has lost a race for reelection in New York in eons. The last Republican to be elected to the Senate for the first time was in 1980, and that was in a 3-way race with a liberal Republican who siphoned off Democratic support in a Republican landslide year. Most damningly, you can't beat somebody with nobody. There is no Republican in the state with the stature and appeal to win a statewide federal race.

You can cherry-pick data to give hope where there is none, but the preponderance of the evidence is on the side of people who see Gillibrand or another Democrat winning reelection easily just as Republicans, appointed or not, cruise to election in Wyoming, Idaho, and Utah Senate seats.

Yeah, I can't see Gillibrand losing to anyone even if 2010 does end up being a strong GOP year. She'll do well enough upstate to make up for any losses in the suburbs; the only prayer of beating her would be if she makes major mistakes and there ends up being very low turnout in NYC plus a big suburban shift against her. Not gonna happen.

The only way I see the GOP winning this seat would be if Maloney beats Gillibrand in the primary, and the GOP gets a very strong moderate candidate, and 2010 is a strong GOP year with Obama having low approval ratings. Even with all of that, it'd be lean Dem (you'd probably additionally need bad turnout in NYC as well), but it would at least make an upset within the realm of possibility.
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2009, 02:31:35 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting Judd Gregg's (R) recent decision to take himself out of consideration for Obama's cabinet as well as his decision not to seek reelection. The race remains a Toss-Up.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (5 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)
    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Specter (R-PA)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)

Currently Safe (9 R, 13 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Kaufman (D-DE)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2009, 01:07:16 AM »
2010 Senate Ratings

Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting President Obama's decision to pick Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D) to become the next secretary of Health and Human Services. The open Kansas Senate seat moves from Clear Advantage for the Incumbent Party to Currently Safe.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (5 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)
    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Specter (R-PA)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 2 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)

Currently Safe (10 R, 13 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Kaufman (D-DE)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2009, 12:19:25 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings. In the face of poor polling numbers and media stories, we've moved Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd (D) from Currently Safe to Clear Advantage. Republicans don't yet have a candidate against him, but Dodd can't be considered safe.

Lean Takeover (0 R, 0 D)

Toss-Up (5 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)
    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Specter (R-PA)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 3 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)

Currently Safe (10 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Kaufman (D-DE)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #7 on: April 21, 2009, 01:31:06 AM »
Lean Takeover (2 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY) #
    * Specter (R-PA) #

Toss-Up (3 R, 1 D)

    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * Dodd (D-CT) *

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 1 D)

    * FL Open (Martinez, R) *
    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 3 D)

    * Vitter (R-LA) *
    * Bennet (D-CO) #
    * Burris (D-IL) *
    * Lincoln (D-AR) *

Currently Safe (11 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA) *
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND) #
    * Feingold (D-WI) #
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2009, 01:26:44 PM »
2010 Senate Ratings

Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter's switch from the Republican Party to the Democratic Party.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (1 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)

Toss-Up (3 R, 1 D)

    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * Dodd (D-CT)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 1 D)

    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 4 D)

    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Burris (D-IL)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA) #

Currently Safe (11 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #9 on: July 08, 2009, 02:28:09 PM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings, reflecting Attorney General Lisa Madigan's (D) decision not to run for the U.S. Senate in Illinois and Cong. Mark Kirk's (R) decision to run.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (1 R, 0 D)

    * Bunning (R-KY)

Toss-Up (3 R, 1 D)

    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * Dodd (D-CT)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * FL Open (Martinez, R)
    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Burris (D-IL) *
    * Reid (D-NV)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 3 D)

    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Currently Safe (11 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #10 on: July 28, 2009, 03:00:17 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Toss-Up (4 R, 2 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R) *
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D) *
    * Dodd (D-CT)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA) #
    * Reid (D-NV)
    * Specter (D-PA) *

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 2 D)

    * FL Open (Martinez, R) *
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)

Currently Safe (11 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2009, 10:13:01 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 1 D)

    * DE Open (Kaufman, D) #

Toss-Up (4 R, 2 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Dodd (D-CT)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Reid (D-NV)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 2 D)

    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)

Currently Safe (11 R, 11 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2009, 04:24:48 PM »
I think the reason for the "lean takeover" rating is that there is no guarantee that Beau will run. If he does enter, it'll probably be changed to pure toss up at that point.
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2009, 12:11:25 PM »
Yeah, could be Joe makes an agreement with Castle to keep Beau out of the race in return for Castle's agreeing to not support GOP filibusters once he's in office (keeping in mind that this would be his last election ever, thus once he gets in he's free to vote his conscience).
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2009, 10:36:05 PM »
Lean Takeover (0 R, 1 D)

    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 3 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Reid (D-NV) *

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 3 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR) *
    * Specter (D-PA) *

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 0 D)

    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)

Currently Safe (11 R, 11 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
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*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2009, 12:50:08 PM »
Lean Takeover (0 R, 1 D)

    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 3 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Reid (D-NV)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 3 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA) #
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)

Currently Safe (10 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
    * MA Open (Kirk, D)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #16 on: November 20, 2009, 11:07:26 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 1 D)

    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Dodd (D-CT)
    * Reid (D-NV)
    * Specter (D-PA) *

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)

Currently Safe (10 R, 12 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Dorgan (D-ND)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
    * MA Open (Kirk, D)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #17 on: January 06, 2010, 02:15:48 PM »
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (0 R, 2 D)

ND Open (Dorgan, D) *
DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 5 D)

KY Open (Bunning, R)
MO Open (Bond, R)
NH Open (Gregg, R)
OH Open (Voinovich, R)
IL Open (Burris, D)
Bennet (D-CO) *
Lincoln (D-AR) *
Reid (D-NV)
Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

Burr (R-NC)
Vitter (R-LA)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 1 D)

Grassley (R-IA)
FL Open (LeMieux, R)
CT Open (Dodd, D) #

Currently Safe (10 R, 11 D)

Bennett (R-UT)
Coburn (R-OK)
Crapo (R-ID)
DeMint (R-SC)
Isakson (R-GA)
McCain (R-AZ)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Shelby (R-AL)
Thune (R-SD)
KS Open (Brownback, R)
Bayh (D-IN)
Boxer (D-CA)
Feingold (D-WI)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Inouye (D-HI)
Leahy (D-VT)
Mikulski (D-MD)
Murray (D-WA)
Schumer (D-NY)
Wyden (D-OR)
MA Open (Kirk, D)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #18 on: January 13, 2010, 10:32:51 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 3 D)

    * Reid (D-NV) *
    * ND Open (Dorgan, D)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)
    * CT Open (Dodd, D)
    * MA Open (Kirk, D) *

Currently Safe (10 R, 10 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #19 on: January 13, 2010, 10:35:34 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 3 D)

    * Reid (D-NV)
    * ND Open (Dorgan, D)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 1 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)
    * MA Open (Kirk, D) *

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R,1 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)
    * CT Open (Dodd, D)

Currently Safe (10 R, 10 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #20 on: January 15, 2010, 02:21:11 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 3 D)

    * Reid (D-NV)
    * ND Open (Dorgan, D)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 5 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * MA Open (Kirk, D) *
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R,1 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)
    * CT Open (Dodd, D)

Currently Safe (10 R, 10 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #21 on: January 18, 2010, 11:20:29 AM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 4 D)

    * Reid (D-NV)
    * MA Open (Kirk, D) *
    * ND Open (Dorgan, D)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Lincoln (D-AR)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)
    * Vitter (R-LA)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R,1 D)

    * Grassley (R-IA)
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)
    * CT Open (Dodd, D)

Currently Safe (10 R, 10 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #22 on: January 21, 2010, 03:05:32 PM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 4 D)

    * Lincoln (D-AR) *
    * Reid (D-NV)
    * ND Open (Dorgan, D)
    * DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 3 D)

    * KY Open (Bunning, R)
    * MO Open (Bond, R)
    * NH Open (Gregg, R)
    * OH Open (Voinovich, R)
    * IL Open (Burris, D)
    * Bennet (D-CO)
    * Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 0 D)

    * Burr (R-NC)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R,1 D)

    * Vitter (R-LA) *
    * FL Open (LeMieux, R)
    * CT Open (Dodd, D)

Currently Safe (11 R, 10 D)

    * Bennett (R-UT)
    * Coburn (R-OK)
    * Crapo (R-ID)
    * DeMint (R-SC)
    * Grassley (R-IA) *
    * Isakson (R-GA)
    * McCain (R-AZ)
    * Murkowski (R-AK)
    * Shelby (R-AL)
    * Thune (R-SD)
    * KS Open (Brownback, R)
    * Bayh (D-IN)
    * Boxer (D-CA)
    * Feingold (D-WI)
    * Gillibrand (D-NY)
    * Inouye (D-HI)
    * Leahy (D-VT)
    * Mikulski (D-MD)
    * Murray (D-WA)
    * Schumer (D-NY)
    * Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #23 on: February 03, 2010, 02:58:14 PM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (0 R, 4 D)

Lincoln (D-AR)
Reid (D-NV)
ND Open (Dorgan, D)
DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 3 D)

KY Open (Bunning, R)
MO Open (Bond, R)
NH Open (Gregg, R)
OH Open (Voinovich, R)
IL Open (Burris, D)
Bennet (D-CO)
Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 1 D)

Burr (R-NC)
Bayh (D-IN) *

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R,1 D)

Vitter (R-LA)
FL Open (LeMieux, R)
CT Open (Dodd, D)

Currently Safe (11 R, 10 D)

Bennett (R-UT)
Coburn (R-OK)
Crapo (R-ID)
DeMint (R-SC)
Grassley (R-IA)
Isakson (R-GA)
McCain (R-AZ)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Shelby (R-AL)
Thune (R-SD)
KS Open (Brownback, R)
Boxer (D-CA)
Feingold (D-WI)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Inouye (D-HI)
Leahy (D-VT)
Mikulski (D-MD)
Murray (D-WA)
Schumer (D-NY)
Wyden (D-OR)
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #24 on: February 17, 2010, 07:49:30 PM »
Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (0 R, 4 D)

Lincoln (D-AR)
Reid (D-NV)
ND Open (Dorgan, D)
DE Open (Kaufman, D)

Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)

KY Open (Bunning, R)
MO Open (Bond, R)
NH Open (Gregg, R)
OH Open (Voinovich, R)
IL Open (Burris, D)
IN Open (Bayh, D) *
Bennet (D-CO)
Specter (D-PA)

Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 0 D)

Burr (R-NC)

Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R,1 D)

Vitter (R-LA)
FL Open (LeMieux, R)
CT Open (Dodd, D)

Currently Safe (11 R, 10 D)

Bennett (R-UT)
Coburn (R-OK)
Crapo (R-ID)
DeMint (R-SC)
Grassley (R-IA)
Isakson (R-GA)
McCain (R-AZ)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Shelby (R-AL)
Thune (R-SD)
KS Open (Brownback, R)
Boxer (D-CA)
Feingold (D-WI)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Inouye (D-HI)
Leahy (D-VT)
Mikulski (D-MD)
Murray (D-WA)
Schumer (D-NY)
Wyden (D-OR)
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