The White Trend Map (user search)
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Author Topic: The White Trend Map  (Read 4927 times)
Nym90
nym90
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Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P

« on: November 30, 2008, 10:10:33 AM »


IL is also surprising. I thought Obama would win Whites by a bigger margin there.

A pretty wimpy swing as well...

Either the results are wrong due to small sample size (probably) or else black and hispanic turnout was simply through the roof in Illinois.
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P

« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2008, 10:11:42 AM »

So....blacks and hispanics trended away from Obama in South Carolina? Because the state actually trended Republican with the national average, but whites trended Democrat.

Again, probably bad result due to the small samples. I highly doubt McCain did better than Bush with blacks and hispanics in any state relative to his national performance.
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P

« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2008, 10:13:01 AM »


Table (according to CNN 2004 & 2008 Exit Polls, sorted by Swing/Trend:

MoE and sample size of SC AA turnout is kinda low, no?

Or are those official state numbers?
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