Most plausible Bloomberg victory map (user search)
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  Most plausible Bloomberg victory map (search mode)
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Author Topic: Most plausible Bloomberg victory map  (Read 2967 times)
Nym90
nym90
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Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

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« on: February 17, 2016, 01:27:48 PM »
This is based strictly on the 2012 election results, giving Bloomberg the states closest to the national average D/R margin to get him to 273 electoral college votes. The Republican would have 143 and the Democrat 122 Electoral votes.




Obviously more likely if Cruz or Trump are the GOP nominee and if Sanders is the Dem nominee.

If Bloomberg can win his home state of New York, then he wouldn't need Indiana, Missouri, or Arizona, and could win with 270 EVs to 175 for Cruz/Trump and 93 for Sanders.
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2016, 01:39:28 PM »
I agree that it would be tough. The biggest obstacle Bloomberg has is that he is center-left and would be competing with Sanders for votes moreso than the GOP candidate, but Sanders seems more acceptable to moderate Dem voters than Trump or Cruz would be to moderate GOP voters. A center-right candidate would have a much better chance of pulling off the uppermost map than Bloomberg would.
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