NM-01 Special Election Prediction and Margin (user search)

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NM-01 Special Election Prediction and Margin (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Predict Winner and a Range of Margin

#1 Moores wins (any margin)		2 (2.3%)
#2 Stansbury wins by 0-4.9%		1 (1.2%)
#3 Stansbury wins by 5-9.9%		9 (10.5%)
#4 Stansbury wins by 10-14.9%		34 (39.5%)
#5 Stansbury wins by 15-19.9%		27 (31.4%)
#6 Stansbury wins by 20-24.9%		8 (9.3%)
#7 Stansbury wins by 25-29.9%		3 (3.5%)
#8 Stansbury wins by 30%+		2 (2.3%)

Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 86

Author

Topic: NM-01 Special Election Prediction and Margin (Read 2438 times)

ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star

Posts: 21,102

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

NM-01 Special Election Prediction and Margin

« on: June 01, 2021, 09:10:34 AM »

56% Stansbury
42% Moores

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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star

Posts: 21,102

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

Re: NM-01 Special Election Prediction and Margin

« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2021, 09:12:33 AM »

Unfortunately, I can't close the poll after a fraction of a day. I won't be here for the results tonight so please just vote what you're honest prediction was if you're voting after the fact.

Logged

ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star

Posts: 21,102

Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

Re: NM-01 Special Election Prediction and Margin

« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2021, 06:17:58 AM »

Stansbury won by 24.6%, a 2% overperformance of Biden, and an 8% overperformance of Haaland in 2020.

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