How much will Trump carry Kern County CA by? (user search)
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  How much will Trump carry Kern County CA by? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How much will Trump carry Kern County CA by?
#1
15+%		  
#2
10-15%		  
#3
5-10%		  
#4
0-5%		  
#5
It'll go D		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: How much will Trump carry Kern County CA by?  (Read 1715 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: December 16, 2019, 06:34:40 AM »
Quote from: Sen. Dean Heller on December 10, 2019, 09:49:29 PM
2008: 58-40 McCain

2012: 57-40 Romney

2016: 53-40 Trump

The county is 48% Hispanic, and trending rapidly left. It is home to Bakersfield.

That's a bit of an overstatement. In fact, so many people say this about counties that have barely moved at all it's become a parody at this point.

But I would say an 11-12 point margin. I do not think Latinos are voting more Democratic than previous 2012-2016 numbers but I think the increase in Latino % and turnout is gradually bringing the margin down.
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