ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: June 07, 2019, 08:15:43 AM » |
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To a degree. Without any polls, we'd be a lot more lost and we wouldn't have that great of an idea of how an election will turn out. Polls narrow that down a bit, but not as much as they appear to, as the margin of error can make more than a double-digit difference in margin from one end to another. That's not even considering sample biases or other factors too.
In general, we should take any general election polls before the summer of 2020 with a grain of salt. We should keep in mind which regions and states have had biases in the past few election cycles.
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