WI-Marquette: Evers ahead in the primary, Walker (R) leads GE by 4

[ElectionsGuy]

The crossover here is fascinating. I really want to meet some of these Baldwin/Walker people, they would be interesting people to sit down and have a conversation with. But proves once again Walker has some kind of support that Dems can't seem to crack, its like 5-8% but that group has stuck with him all along. But I'm sure people here will be predicting his defeat until election day because they'll believe PPP more than Marquette.

[ElectionsGuy]

A spread of 5-9 points isn't safe for any incumbent.  Especially, in a state like WI. And results in local elections with the state senate and State Crts, give rise to Democratic voters.  Tony Evers is a fresh face, and isn't a wide known politican, but after Labor Day, the race will significantly change.

Yeah, that's your fresh face for sure

[ElectionsGuy]

The crossover here is fascinating. I really want to meet some of these Baldwin/Walker people, they would be interesting people to sit down and have a conversation with. But proves once again Walker has some kind of support that Dems can't seem to crack, its like 5-8% but that group has stuck with him all along. But I'm sure people here will be predicting his defeat until election day because they'll believe PPP more than Marquette.

The crosstabs have Badwin overperforming Evers by about 16 points in the eastern part of the state (Milwaukee, remainder of the Milwaukee Metro, and the Green Bay Metro) compared to only 8 points in the western part of the state (Madison Metro and the rest of the state).

That's bizarre, that's usually the most predictable and stubborn part of the state, I would think rural Wisconsin would be where most of the Walker/Baldwin voters are. Beats me.